INTC

Insider Buying Week 08-09-24

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Someone wrote last week that the situation in the market was ripe for a crash, reminiscent of the Crash of 1987. I lived through that, so I have some personal observations. Name: Thomas Arthur Bell Position: CEO Transaction Date: 2024-08-01 Shares Bought: 1,712 Average Price Paid: $145.04 Cost: $248,305 Company: Leidos Holdings Inc. (LDOS) Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and has its headquarters in Reston, Virginia. Leidos Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries offer services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets in the United States and abroad. The company’s segments include Defense Solutions, Civil, and … Read more

Insider Buying Week 5-5-23 Banking Blood Bath is it time to Buy?

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Insiders came out to play last week. It was not pretty, but insiders are bottom fishers, as a rule. They buy in force when prices are down when they perceive a bottom.  Regional bank insiders were all over the field scooping up prices that haven’t been seen since the Pandemic lows. Unfortunately, most of it was in regional bank stocks. Bank stocks are notoriously difficult to understand. First of all, they are highly leveraged, between 5-10% Tier 1 capital ratios which is the ratio of a bank’s core tier 1 capital—its equity capital and disclosed reserves—to its total risk-weighted assets.  Usually, that … Read more

The Fed has a Hammer but needs a Scalpel Insider Buying Week 2-24-23

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It’s a commonly held view amongst market strategists that the Fed follows interest rates, not determines them. You don’t have to look very far to see plenty of evidence of that.  It’s a quiet conspiracy amongst talking heads and futures markets that economic events and statistics are immediately reflected in real-time price action in the bond markets, dot plots, and other dynamic markets. The Fed will often talk up its view, and by the time they do take some action on rates, it’s hardly a surprise. This is, of course, by design. The Powell Fed believes in transparency and no … Read more

Stock market Pundit Mike Wilson gets Egged- Insider Buying Week Ending 2-3-23

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Morgan Stanley’s head of equity strategist Mike Lee stood out from the herd last year calling the market sell-off in 2022. Not only did he get it right, but he also stuck with his guns and didn’t back down during the many gut-wrenching bear market rallies last year.  He’s been bearish since the market rally last Fall and has doubled down on what is turning out to be one of the most embarrassingly bad and brazen market calls I’ve heard in some time. He’s not alone, though. Almost every pundit I read or listen to, says the same thing. Don’t … Read more

Massimo and Apple Showdown coming soon to a screen near you-other notable Insider Buys

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Learn How You Can Become an Insider Too – Click Here   The reality of significantly richer returns on risk-free assets like U.S. Treasuries has taken hold of investors’ psyches. The marginal excess returns that the stock market is likely to provide over the 10 Year Treasury are still mildly attractive. Considering the historic return of the stock market is 7.5%-8%, is the 3.7% to 4.18% risk premium above yesterday’s 3.82% 10 Year Treasury Yield worth it?  For some retired investors losing sleep over the market’s gut-wrenching volatility- the answer is clearly no.  Years of financial repression are over for … Read more

‘s Really Quite Simple Buy Guns and Gas-Insider Buying Week 11-5-22

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A miserable week, down 3.46% for the bulls ended on a positive note on Friday. The narrative that the bottom was in now seems shaky as stalwarts AMZN, APPLE, MICROSOFT, ALPHABET, and  FACEBOOk all plumb new lows. One thing for certain, the hurdle rate for stocks and all things investment-related is much higher. The 10 Year Treasury yield of nearly 4.5% and the Prime rate of 7% are the new realities. We ain’t going back anytime soon to the halcyon days of near-zero interest rates. I keep repeating my mantra- All bear markets in the last 20 years have ended … Read more

Insider Buying Week 8-26-22 Jerome Powell Debuts at Jackson Hole as “Chucky “

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll through the significant buys of the last year. Friday was a blood bath. The Dow dropped 1000 points. Jerome Powell played Chucky, the criminally insane doll that came to life.  With stunning, chameleon-like performance, he morphed into Paul Volcker, warning the investment community about the pernicious destructive nature of inflation.  Volcker is the Fed Chairman that was famous for crushing the inflation of the 1970s by running interest rates into the high teen percentage points. I personally think it was the most boneheaded policy I’ve lived through. the economic equivalent … Read more

Yields Collapsed- Stocks Soared Insider Buying week 11-5-21 the Race to the Finish

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. 3 Intel birds, 2 Dow Doves, and Archer Aviation in a Pear Tree, on the fourth day of Christmas my true love sent to me:  The shelves might be bare in some stores this XMAS season but there is nothing short of miraculous how the stock market does nothing but power higher. The performance race to the finish we highlighted two weeks ago is game on.  We’ve got a few names to analyze this week … Read more

Insiders Mostly Sat out the October Bull Run- Marc Lore gets High on his Own Supply of Archer Aviation $ACHR

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. Insiders mostly set out this historic runup in the last weeks of October. One buy we are fascinated with was the last-minute SEC filing of Marc Lore’s purchase of his startup Archer Aviation, $ACHR. We used this to provide our summary of the space, the incredible opportunity, and investment opportunities here with electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing vehicles.  EVTOLs will be the next largest and most visible disruptive force in our economy.  Not only will … Read more

Insiders are Nibling- Notable Insider Buy Trupanion TRUP Week ending May 7th

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades U.S. SILICA HOLDINGS Inc up13.46% B. Riley Financial Inc. up 11.29% RAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS Inc up 9.51% Adtalem Global Education Inc. up 8.37% ELI LILLY & Co up 6.88% PQ Group Holdings Inc. up 6.14% Mayville Engineering Company Inc. up 6.13% TRAVELZOO up 5.50% TRUPANION Inc up 4.62% AMPHENOL CORP up 3.32% INTEL CORP up 2.98% Armstrong Flooring Inc. up 5.58% ENTERPRISE FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP UP 1.37% American Assets Trust Inc. up 0.95% MASIMO CORP down 3.22% After weeks of near senescence, insiders are nibbling at their own stock. The … Read more

Insiders buy Intel $INTC Fakeout or Fade?

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For trade details click on this link to the trades Rideshare Rental Inc. up 42.61% Allied Esports Entertainment Inc. up 25.63% STEEL PARTNERS HOLDINGS L.P. up 21.51% FUELCELL ENERGY INC up 15.40% PIMCO Dynamic Income Opportunities Fund up 1.65% INTEL CORP up 0.31% PIMCO Flexible Municipal Income Fund up 0.09% B. Riley Financial Inc. down -0.68% TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME FUND down 0.71% TELEDYNE TECHNOLOGIES INC down 2.47% LANDEC CORP down -2.91% Driven Brands Holdings Inc. down -5.67%   Rideshare Rental Inc. 10% owner, John Gray bought 412,040 shares at $1.54.  Not a bad week for Mr. Gray, up on paper … Read more

Notable Insider Buying Week Ending Nov. 22, 2019

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Please read the last paragraph before you invest.   Following insiders, although childishly simple and obvious of an idea, is fraught with danger.  You can lose money.  There are a lot of nuances to interpreting. For example, the significance of a billionaire buying $300,000 worth of stock is like the average person tippling the valet $5. It doesn’t mean much.  We try to grab the essence of an interesting buy with as few words as possible. Why does Aramark CEO buy $1.49 million of stock at $42.68? Perhaps he is jealous of seeing his Chairman of the Board make $1,000,000, 30% … Read more

Seeking Blue Revisit

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We developed an investment thesis based on the discounted cash flow valuations of some of the most credit worthy companies in the S&P 500.  All of them blue chips, trading at substantial discounts to their net worth, we called this “Seeking Blue”.  You can see our original analysis at http://workshops.saxangle.com/seeking-blue/.  We decided to revisit this valuation.  The bottom line is that many of these companies remain substantially undervalued.  And this is with our pessimistic scenario of zero growth and pressure on operating margins. The results from July 18,2012 are below:   Description Ticker Price  7/18/12 5/3/13 Change Pfizer PFE  $23.14  $28.96 … Read more

| Reuters

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I’ve been talking about this so long as to be amazed that it hasn’t happened yet.  At the depressed levels INTC is trading at, this would be bullish although an admission that they aren’t the dominate force they once were.  I think everyone already knows this except Intel. By Noel Randewich and Nadia Damouni SAN FRANCISCO/NEW YORK | Thu Mar 7, 2013 3:11am EST (Reuters) – Intel’s next CEO is likely to shepherd the top chipmaker into a growing contract-manufacturing business, a strategic shift that could lead to a deal with Apple Inc and give it a fighting chance to … Read more

”’t crack. Buy MSFT and INTC

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Buy  Microsoft and Intel on this sell off and keep adding on the way down.Selling below money puts is one way to start.  That’s a controversial call considering this photo is from the cover of this week’s Barron’s Magazine highlighting the death of the P.C. http://online.barrons.com/home-page I’ve been one of the few people enthusiastic about Intel’s new line of sleek quick to power on Ultrabooks.   The late launch of Windows 8 is undoubtedly slowing the sales cycle but still the caution of businesses and reviewers has taken me aback.  I’ve paid dearly for it as every foray into Intel has … Read more

What really happened today

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Once the dust settles, pundits and analysts will begin to start calculating what we’ve been telling you all along.  Many, many blue chip stocks are dirt cheap based on discounted cash flow analysis with the risk free rate of 2 %or even 3% on the 10 year treasury.  Stay away from cyclicals and invest in the highest credit quality stocks like Coke, McDonald’s, Verizon, JP Morgan, BP, Bristol Myers, Kellogg, Microsoft etc.  These stocks are all way undervalued.  The reason the Bernanke shot his bazooka today is that he doesn’t want to go down as the Fed Reserve Chairman that … Read more

Large number of RSI divergences today

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We had very positive technical signs go off on a number of portfolio positions today.  We also had bearish divergences go off in a few positions we recently initiated small short positions. I have written at length on RSI divergence as one of the few technical indicators I find useful.   Divergence the best technical indicator.   The following positions all showed bullish or bearish RSI divergences today:       Bullish RSI Divergence NAV Navistar at $51.89 INTC Intel at $21.01 IO ION Geophysical Corporation at $8.03 TMV Direxion 30 YR Treasury Bear 3X at $34.32  (note this has … Read more