Insider Buying Week 11-15-24- Animal Spirits are Back!

After weeks of nonexistent insider buying, other than hedge funds which I generally dismiss as informed but not that meaningful OPM other people’s money, insiders have come back with a vengeance.  Some likely unleashed by Trump’s change of regime optimism, while others were likely motivated as the market prematurely selected winners and losers. Centene insiders began buying shares shortly after the election results raised concerns about government funding for healthcare. Enphase, already struggling, faced further declines as solar energy incentives came into question. Meanwhile, semiconductor stocks, with the sole exception of Nvidia, are dropping sharply due to the potential reintroduction … Read more

‘t Any

Three weeks with almost no insider buying of any note to reports. We ignore the purchases of hedge funds as they may be investing primarily with other people’s money. Instead, we concentrate on officers and directors of a company who spend what we think are respectable amounts of money, not likely to be window dressing. Like everything thing in investing, this is not a firm rule. Investors rarely ignored Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, Bill Ackman, or other legendary hedge fund investors. This week, we highlight one new buy and three names we have previously written about. Name: Chun R Ding … Read more

Insider Buying Week 10-18-24

As I wrote last week, nothing fazes this market’s relentless path higher—not higher rates, not even a sharp jump in oil prices. An Israeli retribution strike against Iranian oil facilities hangs like the sword of Damocles, ready to decapitate the entire bull run. Even a moderate oil price lift helped the beleaguered oil and gas patch, providing more fuel for the fire. Name: Liberty 77 Capital L.P. / Liberty 77 Fund International L.P. / STM Partners LLC / Steven T Mnuchin Position: 10% Owner Transaction Date: 2024-10-10 Shares Bought: 816,424 Average Price Paid: $6.73 Cost: $5,495,125 Company: Lions Gate Entertainment … Read more

Insider Buying Week 09-27-24 Is Inhibrx Biosciences another Biohaven? Insiders Seem to think so

The bulletproof market stumbles on; not escalating war in the Middle East or a tumultuous Presidential election in the U.S. seems to faze it. Insiders are mainly sitting this one out, whether it’s the priciness of the market or the quarterly earnings blackout window; insiders are on the sidelines except when it comes to selling. They are hitting the bid like trout on a hatchery pond. Notable sales alone last week included Draft King, Banc of America (Berkshire unloading), Carvana, Seagate Technology, Toll Brothers, and that was just what was reported on Friday last week.  It’s hard to glean much … Read more

Insider Buying Week 09-13-24 Stock Merry Go Round

The stock market had its best week since November 2023, immediately after its worst week of the year. The market is now spitting distance from where it ended the month of August.  Lately, the market has been on a merry-go-round. Trading is killing buy-and-hold, but one week, two weeks, or even two years doesn’t make great hedge fund managers or investors wizards. It’s fun when you win, and it beats watching network TV in a swing state these days. They said it all comes down to the 500,000 undecided voters in the seven states that will determine the Presidential election … Read more

Spooky September Crushes the Market Insider Buying Week 09-06-24

So far, September is living up to its reputation as the cruelest month in the market, and it’s just week one.  The S&P 500 ended the week down 4 out of five days for the worst week since March 2023, the week Silicon Valley Bank collapsed. If you remember, the regional banking market was holding on by a thread until the Federal Reserve and Treasury changed the rules. It allowed banks unfettered liquidity, staving off a run on the entire banking industry, which would have forced many banks to take actual marks on their long-duration, underwater government bonds. That would … Read more

Insider Buying Week 08-30-24 A Return Visit to Inhibrx Biosciences

Insiders buy their stock when they think it’s cheap or sometimes when they want to keep their jobs. The investor must figure out that difference.  There are a few names I’d venture to short on this list if the Vig is not too high.  There are a few names that offer compelling narratives, if not fundamentals.  You can be an insider, too– by clicking here   Name: Gary L Hinkle Position: Director Transaction Date: 2024-08-23 Shares Bought: 5,000 Average Price Paid: $68.09 Cost: $340,450 Company: Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corporation was formed … Read more

Insider Buying Week 08-23-24- They are Back

The treasure hunt continues.  Will insiders provide any clues for that nugget of gold in the tailings of a well-picked over-market?  There are a few notable buys, insiders coming back to purchase more in stocks that seem hard to rationalize why.  This week, we take a deeper dive into those repeat buyers keeping in mind that the most notable thing is that they are back.    You can be an insider, too– by clicking here   Name: C Raymond Jr Larkin Position: Director Transaction Date: 2024-08-15 Shares Bought: 6,500 Average Price Paid: $235.33 Cost: $1,529,645 Company: Align Technology Inc (ALGN) … Read more

Insider Buying Week 08-16-24 Party On!

The market just posted its best week of the year as investors seemed to grasp that the Federal Reserve’s known rate cuts trumped the unknowns from either Presidential candidate, plus whatever Iran had in mind as payback would not be sufficient to risk the devastation wrought by an Israeli strike bolstered by the U.S. Defense Department. Party on! We have also tracked a noticeable pickup in insider buying, mostly in obscure names but something is better than nothing. This weeks highlights include: Name: Thomas C ERB Position: Director Transaction Date: 2024-08-13 Shares Bought: 2,000 Average Price Paid: $112.94 Cost: $225,880 … Read more

Insider Buying Week 08-09-24

Someone wrote last week that the situation in the market was ripe for a crash, reminiscent of the Crash of 1987. I lived through that, so I have some personal observations. Name: Thomas Arthur Bell Position: CEO Transaction Date: 2024-08-01 Shares Bought: 1,712 Average Price Paid: $145.04 Cost: $248,305 Company: Leidos Holdings Inc. (LDOS) Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and has its headquarters in Reston, Virginia. Leidos Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries offer services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets in the United States and abroad. The company’s segments include Defense Solutions, Civil, and … Read more

Insider Buying Week 08-02-24

Someone wrote last week that the situation in the market was ripe for a crash, reminiscent of the Crash of 1987. I lived through that, so I have some personal observations. The Fed had been hiking rates into a rising market. The market had become increasingly schizophrenic, rising sharply, then falling. Unlike then, the Fed has clearly signaled that it has stopped raising rates and plans to reduce them. Rates were also high, but the market had risen for nearly a decade and was due for a correction.  The Fed Chairman hiked one time too many, and the market swooned.  … Read more

Insider Buying Week 07-26-24 A Volatile Week with a Continued Absence of Insider Buying

I wrote last week that “The assassination attempt on Trump failed, but the Republican Convention succeeded in killing the Trump stock market rally. The week started on a positive note with almost a providential feel. Still, it began unraveling as market participants grappled with what a second-term Trump Presidency might really look like.” It’s a fool’s errand trying to anticipate the hive mind of the market, yet no hedge fund manager dare ignore it despite their assurances of their ‘long term investor’ commitments.  So here’s my take, the market began to fixate on what a Republican blowout would mean up … Read more

Insider Buying Week 07-19-24 Trump Survives Assassination Attempt but Republican Convention Kills Trump Rally

The assassination attempt on Trump failed, but the Republican Convention succeeded in killing the Trump stock market rally.  The week started on a positive note with almost a providential feel but began unraveling as market participants grappled with what a second-term Trump Presidency might really look like. Trump’s acceptance speech landed like a lead balloon on an increasingly nervous market. It didn’t help that Goldman Sachs said a 10% market correction might be underway.  Israel struck targets in Yemen in retaliation for a lethal Houthi drone attack in Tel Aviv. Tensions escalated as the threat of a broader war in … Read more

‘s more Life in Death Valley than in this Market

For now, the stock market seems to like the idea of a Trump presidency, as the Biden campaign and Democrats spiraled precariusly lower like a helicopter crash landing. Notable Insider buying was nowhere to be found last week. I define notable as corporate insiders shelling out $200k or more. I discount hedge funds and 10% shareholders as they mostly manage other people’s money and their own. You can attribute some of the lack of insider buying to being in the heart of the quarterly earnings blackout, but that’s really nonsense. Insiders find many ways to sell through the blackout periods, … Read more

Insider Buying Week 03-15-24

Insider buying has been noticeably scarce in this bull leg of a market making all-time highs. The small amount of buying is not performing particularly well either.  You might find this news surprising from a hedge fund manager who has made a living reading these tea leaves for 23 years. Name: Ole G Rosgaard Position: President and CEO Transaction Date: 2024-03-08 Shares Bought: 4,914 Average Price Paid: $67.00 Cost: $329,235 Company: Greif Inc (GEF) Greif Inc. is a top global provider of industrial packaging goods and services, with operations in over 35 countries. The company provides a wide range of … Read more

Insider Buying Week 7-21-23 Is the Bear Market Over?

The headline in Bloomberg this weekend reads, “The Bear Market Has Nearly Been Erased, Fewer Than 20 Months After It Began.” Bear markets don’t come around often. However, when they do, they tend to cause some catastrophic damage to many investors. That’s why it is important to know how often bear markets occur and how long they will last. The average length of a bear market is 289 days or about 9.6 months.  By that measure, the bear market has already been over for some time. The thing about bear markets is that they tend to be much shorter than … Read more

The Fed Gives a White XMAS to Seniors Noteworthy Insider Buys 12-23-22

After years, decades even of financial repression, investors are able to earn something from their risk-free savings. It could not have come at a better time for the nation’s seniors. According to the  2022 U.S. Census Bureau, more than 56 million adults ages 65 and older live in the United States, accounting for about 16.9% of the nation’s population. It’s time for them to step down off the roller coaster ride of the equity markets.  One of the cardinal rules of financial planning is that you get more risk-averse as you age. Now you can actually earn a return of … Read more

Insider Buying Week 12-16-22 CRONOS Up in Smoke?

The Biden administration may be the savviest market timer on or off Wall Street this year.  The widely scoffed-at and criticized announcement on March 31 stated that the administration would start selling oil from the nation’s strategic petroleum reserves.  It sounded like a cheap trick to influence voters upset about high prices at the pump for the Midterm elections. At the time, the price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate Crude hovered around  $98 per barrel and has gotten as high as $110.  Friday’s close of $74.50 represents a short seller’s return of over 35% in less than nine … Read more

Massimo and Apple Showdown coming soon to a screen near you-other notable Insider Buys

Learn How You Can Become an Insider Too – Click Here   The reality of significantly richer returns on risk-free assets like U.S. Treasuries has taken hold of investors’ psyches. The marginal excess returns that the stock market is likely to provide over the 10 Year Treasury are still mildly attractive. Considering the historic return of the stock market is 7.5%-8%, is the 3.7% to 4.18% risk premium above yesterday’s 3.82% 10 Year Treasury Yield worth it?  For some retired investors losing sleep over the market’s gut-wrenching volatility- the answer is clearly no.  Years of financial repression are over for … Read more

‘s 5% Decline

  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll through the significant buys of the last year. The S&P 500 lost over 6% points last week after losing 5% in the previous week. Stocks don’t fall like this unless there is something really wrong. I’m trying to figure that out and the only thing that I can come up with is that the Fed has been bullied into raising interest rates into a weakening economy. Raising interest rates to bring down the price of oil or to untangle the supply chain disruptions is an act of lunacy.  The … Read more

Insider Buying Week 6-10-22 The Mood Darkens as the Earnings Blackout Envelopes

  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll through the significant buys of the last year. The S&P 500 lost 5% points in what was one of its most bruising outings this past week. It’s almost a foregone conclusion we will test the lows of 2022 and enter “bear market territory”.  At the cost of being labeled a Perma bull, I will proffer that that that is the time to add, rather than retreat. As painful as it may be, this is where insiders’ buying adds some confidence to a fragile and shaken market. Unfortunately, we are … Read more

Ugly Ugly and then some Ugly week 4-29-22

  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll through the significant buys of the last year. If you thought last week was ugly, this Friday took the cake. We’re now testing the lows set this year and if you’re not nervous about the market, you’re in denial. The S&P 500 Index slumped on Friday, capping its biggest monthly decline since March 2020. According to Bloomberg, the benchmark gauge closed down 3.6%. All 11 major industry groups declined, with the consumer discretionary, real estate, and information technology sectors leading losses. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index fell 4.5%, closing … Read more

Worried about Empty Holiday Shelves? Not at your local Cannabis Dispensary-Insider Buying week 11-12-21

Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. The game changes this week. Earnings restricted blackouts are winding down as most companies have now reported the 3rd quarter.  Insider buying ramped considerably and you should have a lot of fun reading this week’s blog post. There are a lot of tea leaves to pick through.  Insiders don’t explain the logic of their big purchases.  We have to let the dollars speak for themselves and we can only imagine what they are saying. Add … Read more

Insider Buying picks up Last Week- 57 Buys in 41 Different Companies

For trade, details click on this link to the trades.  Wow- Insiders are coming back with a vengeance. The S&P was up 0.71% for the week ending the week with new highs on the S&P 500, the Dow, and the QQQ indices. Insiders returned to the playing field with an average return of 2.67% for the week, easily beating the market.  In this blog post, we analyze, 57 insider buys in about 41 different companies. Now you know what I didn’t do with my weekend.  We highlight the insider purchases that stood out, mostly over $200k and personal money, not … Read more