alphaweatlhfunds

Insider Buying week 02-25-22 Yes, there is now Blood on the Streets

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. Figuring out the next move in the market has moved into the realms of multidimensional chess playing with cross-currents upon cross-currents swirling below one another, colliding into one another. Just look at the Fed’s dilemma now trying to tighten monetary policy in the face of a potential global conflict.   Putin has unleashed his single-handed insane determination to change the world order. No one knows where this goes and how it ends. Ultimately this war could trump all news but for now, … Read more

Insider Buying week 02-18-22 Ukraine is thrown under the Bus

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. The war is on. Biden made that clear Friday after the close. What he made equally clear is that our allies are completely confused about what we would do beyond righteous indignation. We’ve got a lot of RIGHTEOUS INDIGNATION to go around. In fact, I might have been dreaming but I swear I saw diplomats from the EU and the German federation of states wearing placards shoulder to shoulder that said Righteous Indignation- Nah  that was a dream If there was ever … Read more

Insider Buying week 02-11-22

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year.  The week started out with a strong rebound in Amazon’s stock that looked like it might actually be infectious for other injured tech and high flyers only to end the week in a sea of red that looked like the invasion of Ukraine had moved to the big board and NASDAQ.   The very powerful and scary Russian military machine encircling Ukraine unnerved most investors and there was a decided buyer’s boycott as Biden hinted that an invasion might happen while the Olympics … Read more

‘t In Yet

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year.  Last week was a predictable short-covering rally in the most savaged part of the market, high flying cloud stocks and a smattering of nonprofitable tech players. NASDAQ stocks shellacked the most typically and predictably bounced back  10-15%. But don’t kid yourself. This isn’t the real deal, at least not for most of the bag holders. Every market correction for the last 20 years or as long as we have data for ends and only ends with a tsunami of insider buying. Whether … Read more

Netflix Gets some Insider Love -Insider Buying week 01-28-22

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. Last week, I started the blog saying, “at some point making money begins to matter. I’ve long scoffed at relative value analysis as a way to cultivate bad habits.  It’s addictive and should be banned. Comparing companies by silly metrics as a multiple of sales versus a multiple of earnings seems insane yet the madness of crowd behavior is a well-documented phenomenon.  It’s called bubbles and we’ve been in one for quite some time.  I love bubble investing- just point me to … Read more

Bye Bye American Pie Insider Buying week 01-21-22

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. We’re in a vicious bear market the like of which harks back to the Dot.com bubble bursting for stocks with little or no earnings.  That’s most of the cloud stocks and pretty much all the speculative SPAC’s that are getting annihilated by the Great Unwind. The Indices mask the carnage that is happening below the surface. You don’t need to look to Ukraine for the bloodbath. It’s already well underway on the NASDAQ. There wasn’t much in the way of insider activity … Read more

Insider Buying week 01-14-22 Little Buying- Lots of Selling

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. Russia with 100,000 battle-hardened troops poised to invade Ukraine, the price of crude oil making new highs, and China banning all inbound flights from the U.S right before the Winter Games because of soaring Covid infections, the Fed stating unequivocally they would hike rates more aggressively if needed- and the market only down 2% for the month. Wow- that’s a strong stock market. For how long is anyone’s guess. The blackout period before earnings is always a time of little insider buying … Read more

Insider Buying week 01-07-22 and What a Week it Was

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. This was certainly an interesting week.  The Nasdaq Generals got a dressing down from their leader, the general market investing public. They said loud and clear that if you insiders are selling droves of your stock, you better give us a better explanation why we shouldn’t be too.  Since dividends are rare and the only benefit of holding these highflyers is that their actual free cash flow-making abilities might one day catch up with their inflated stock price, investors seemed to all … Read more

‘t much to buy, but there is much to learn

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. During the last week of the year, there was very little insider trading. This is of course to be expected as companies are in the quiet period before earnings are released.   There is another explanation for this though.  There just isn’t much worth buying.  With rates at all-time lows, stocks at all-time highs, real estate off the charts, perhaps the place to look for bargains are not in the U.S stock market.  Maybe my point … Read more

Merry XMAS Money Never Sleeps 12-24-21 It looks like a New Day at Ford Motor

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. It’s a holiday-shortened week and it’s the 2nd to last week of the year. All companies that report on the quarterly calendar schedule are in a full-blown earnings blackout. No officers, directors, or 10% shareholders are buying and selling unless they’ve done it through one of the increasingly duplicitous 10b5-1 plans that regulators are beginning to scrutinize. Besides is there really much to get excited about?  Stock prices, real estate prices, and all matter of … Read more

Insider Buying week 12-17-21

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. Microsoft dipped 0.3% Friday, bringing its weekly decline to nearly 5.5%. Alphabet and Apple fell more than 4%. A handful of tech stocks have been propelling the major averages all year and it’s only natural to see some profit-taking.  I tried to borrow some ARKK stock but there was none available to short. Betting against Infinite multiples has been the most reliable trade of the last month. There was somewhat of a short squeeze on … Read more

Insider Buying week 12-10-21 Closer Inspection showed the Naked Underbelly

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. Infinite multiples and the greater fool theory are showing cracks in the foundation of relative valuation yet the major indices staged a remarkable comeback up 3.82% while insiders nearly doubled that with the average return up 3.82%. A closer inspection though showed the naked underbelly of this market. Momentum favorites are coming under attack and insiders are making a futile attempt to turn the tide. DocuSign and Paypal insiders are nibbling but this won’t likely … Read more

Insider Buying week 12-03-21 -Let me Count the Ways I Hate SPACS

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. I’ve been monitoring insider behavior and how it impacts stock prices for about as long as anyone out there I haven’t seen much that shocks me or changes my perception of the usefulness of this information.  Now I have.  Normally significant insider buying will put a floor on a down-trending stock.  That’s changed with SPACS.  No matter how encouraging the news is or robust the insider buying is, when you have big shareholders waiting in … Read more

The World Health Organization (WHO) confirmed it skipped the Greek letters “nu” and “xi” in naming its new COVID-19 variant, which it dubbed the “omicron” variant.

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. Insiders were coming back in a pretty big way and then the virus redux hit on Friday.  Does it change anything?  It’s too early to read anything into it as insider buying will have as much as a 48 hour lag to real-world events as the SEC requires insiders to post their transactions within 2 days of making a purchase or sale.  We’ll know more by the end. of next week if the newest Covid … Read more

Insider Buying week 11-19-21- Insiders are Stepping up

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. This report is going to be delayed due to a funeral I had to attend for my dear first cousin’s, husband, who passed away at 75years of age. It brought me back to Savannah, my hometown, on the marsh and waterways of Skidaway Island. I will get to the opinion pieces as I write the Insiders Report for myself. It’s my way of processing insider buying.  And there was a lot of it, this time … Read more

Worried about Empty Holiday Shelves? Not at your local Cannabis Dispensary-Insider Buying week 11-12-21

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. The game changes this week. Earnings restricted blackouts are winding down as most companies have now reported the 3rd quarter.  Insider buying ramped considerably and you should have a lot of fun reading this week’s blog post. There are a lot of tea leaves to pick through.  Insiders don’t explain the logic of their big purchases.  We have to let the dollars speak for themselves and we can only imagine what they are saying. Add … Read more

Yields Collapsed- Stocks Soared Insider Buying week 11-5-21 the Race to the Finish

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. 3 Intel birds, 2 Dow Doves, and Archer Aviation in a Pear Tree, on the fourth day of Christmas my true love sent to me:  The shelves might be bare in some stores this XMAS season but there is nothing short of miraculous how the stock market does nothing but power higher. The performance race to the finish we highlighted two weeks ago is game on.  We’ve got a few names to analyze this week … Read more

Insiders Mostly Sat out the October Bull Run- Marc Lore gets High on his Own Supply of Archer Aviation $ACHR

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. Insiders mostly set out this historic runup in the last weeks of October. One buy we are fascinated with was the last-minute SEC filing of Marc Lore’s purchase of his startup Archer Aviation, $ACHR. We used this to provide our summary of the space, the incredible opportunity, and investment opportunities here with electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing vehicles.  EVTOLs will be the next largest and most visible disruptive force in our economy.  Not only will … Read more

The Stock Market is our Squid Game Insider Buying week 10-22-21

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. You think there can’t get any less insider buying but it gets worse week by week. Check out this ratio of insider buying/selling charted against the S&P 500.  March 2020 insiders rushed to play the game.  Now they are in full retreat knowing that we are just one move away from getting their head blown off. The stock market is starting to resemble Netflix’s dystopian hit, The Squid Game. Asset prices are at record highs, … Read more

$KERN and other Zombies Insider Buying week 10-15-21

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Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. You think there can’t get any less insider buying but it gets worse this week. As much as I want to believe it’s all earnings blackout related, I know it’s not. There are damn few compelling reasons to buy most stocks at these valuations and insiders know it.  Insiders as a group are value buyers, not index chasers or performance mongers. The modest decline of September has almost been completely released by the relief rally … Read more

Pounding the Table on $EVRG

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  For trade, details click on this link to the trades It’s hard to get excited about insider buying during an earnings blackout.  It’s even harder to get excited about it when there is only one investable idea but sometimes, maybe all the time, it just takes one good idea to make your fortune. That was certainly the case for Dustin Moscovitz, the CEO and Founder of Asana.  He’s been buying millions of dollars worth of stock in a company that he just brought public, a year ago for 3X the price it went public for. Normally it works the … Read more

Elliott Preps a Move on $EVRG Evergy Things are Heating Up 10-01-21

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades.    It’s not that things are just heating up over at the giant regulated Midwest utility, Evergy, $EVRG.  The entire grid is about to undergo wholesale change, modernization, and smart management to usher in the world of electric vehicles and government-mandated renewable sources of energy.  The sun doesn’t shine at night and the wind doesn’t blow all day but we all want our power day and night, windy or still.  Electric utilities are the safest bet in town and that hasn’t gone unnoticed by the likes of Warren Buffett or … Read more

Two High Conviction Insider Buys $EVRG and $EPD- Week 9-24-21

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades.    Name: Andrews Kirkland B Position: CFO Transaction Date: 2021-09-23  Shares Bought: 7,875 Average Price Paid: $63.67 Cost: $501,392 Name: Campbell David A Position: CEO Transaction Date: 2021-09-23  Shares Bought: 7,870 Average Price Paid: $63.66 Cost: $499,699 Company: Evergy Inc. (EVRG) Evergy is an American investor-owned utility (IOU) with publicly traded stock headquarters in Topeka, Kansas, and in Kansas City, Missouri. The company was formed from a merger of Westar Energy of Topeka and Great Plains Energy of Kansas City, Missouri, the parent company of Kansas City Power & Light. … Read more

Insider Buying week 9-10-21 This is Trickery of the Highest Order

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades. September is living up to its reputation as the worst-performing month of the year and we’re just getting started.  U.S. stocks fell for a fifth straight day on Friday, with the S&P 500 ending the week down 1.7 percent in its longest losing streak since February.  But that’s just a diversion from the bigger story. When the game you’re playing makes no more sense, is it time to walk away from the game? Have the rules changed in some way that’s beyond your comprehension? This is trickery of the highest … Read more

S&P Continues to Edge Higher and some Potential Home Runs Week 9-3-21

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades.  There may not have been a rush of insider buying last week but there are some definite potential home runs to ponder.  None more quixotical than NGR Partners.  Crimble, the CEO, has bought 1,140,000 million shares spending $7,134,034 during the last five years at every lower prices. His latest purchase was just was up 18% last week. Then there are the CEO and CFO duo from Cano Health who purchased over $16 million dollars worth of CANO yielding gains as high as 35% in a week!  I’m going to spend … Read more

Insider Buying week 8-27-21

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades.  I had a dream Friday morning about the stock market. I yelled out in my sleep, “everything is going up.” I woke up and it pretty much did exactly that. In a good market, almost all trades bounce sharply but the stickiness and real progress from there are what you have to measure. Perhaps deduct 4 or 5 percent from all the posted returns to determine your likely return as getting them at the same price or lower than the insider’s purchase cost is difficult to do since they almost … Read more

A Busy Week of Insider Buying 8-20-21 and $CASI, a 10 bagger in 2 Years

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades.  If there’s one name on this list that I think offers extraordinary opportunity, it would be Casi Pharmaceuticals. It’s been a painful holding for us but take a look at our analysis. CASI looks like a 10 bagger in two years or less. There is something very different now about this stock market than the one we started the year with.  There has been a steady collapse in speculative fervor across the entire market.  You only have to look at the embodiment of it, notable fund manager superstar, Kathie Woods … Read more

Insider Buying picks up Last Week- 57 Buys in 41 Different Companies

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades.  Wow- Insiders are coming back with a vengeance. The S&P was up 0.71% for the week ending the week with new highs on the S&P 500, the Dow, and the QQQ indices. Insiders returned to the playing field with an average return of 2.67% for the week, easily beating the market.  In this blog post, we analyze, 57 insider buys in about 41 different companies. Now you know what I didn’t do with my weekend.  We highlight the insider purchases that stood out, mostly over $200k and personal money, not … Read more

Insider Buying Picks Up Dramatically Week 8-06-21

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades.  Name Sachs Bruce I Position: Director Shares Bought: 15,000 Average Price Paid: $197.91, Cost: $2,968,650 Company: Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX) Vertex is a global biotechnology company that invests in scientific innovation to create transformative medicines for people with serious diseases. The company has multiple approved medicines that treat the underlying cause of cystic fibrosis (CF) – a rare, life-threatening genetic disease – and has several ongoing clinical and research programs in CF. Beyond CF, Vertex has a robust pipeline of investigational small molecule medicines in other serious diseases where it has … Read more

Insider Buying week 7-30-21 Another Boring Week of Lackluster Buying

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For trade, details click on this link to the trades.  Another boring week but three insiders are worth taking a look at.  This post will examine the few hardy souls that stepped up and bought their company’s stock and the reasons why. Archer Daniels seems particularly enticing. Name: Schneider Ryan M Position: Director Shares Bought: 1,300, Average Price Paid: $384.36, Cost: $499,668 Company: Anthem Inc. (ANTM) Anthem, Inc., is a provider of health insurance in the United States. It is the largest for-profit managed health care company in the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association. As of 2018, the company had … Read more