Insider Buying Week 04-11-25 Every Bear Market Ends with a Tsunami of Insider Buying

What a great time to be an insider. Every bear market since 2001 has only ended with a plethora, a tsunami of insider buying. Nothing like that has yet happened. Pay close attention to what Insiders are doing with their own money. Pay NO attention to buy-back announcements unless they are backed with real actions.  Many buy-backs are more aspirational than real. Buy-backs are often just an attempt to keep the share count stable from all the share issuances. Follow us on Twitter for real-time commentary and insider buying alerts at https://twitter.com/theinsidersfund  If you are a QUALIFIED INVESTOR and are interested … Read more

Insider Buying 03-28-25 Stagflation is the Game. Confidence has been Shattered

The market as measured by the S&P 500 shed 1.53% last month. The dollar was down, gold up. There seems be a pattern here. Money is voting in real time and it’s leaving the stock market.  This looks to me like the opposite of a virtuous cycle. Instead, a vicious cycle is developing a loop of negative events that reinforce and worsen each other. I suspect as the quarter ends, there will be a steady drum beat of lowered earnings expectations.   Consumer confidence is falling at historic rates and business animal spirits are retreating with their tails between their legs. … Read more

Insider Buying 02-21-25 Welcome to Chaos 2.0

I refer to the first Trump administration as Chaos 1.0.  Many good things can come from disruption but generally the markets like predictability and order. It was only a worldwide pandemic that upstaged the near constant firing and turnover in the Administration.   It was the real-world political version of the popular reality TV show, The Apprentice.  According to the Brookings Institute, Trump’s A team turnover from year to year was 92%, far higher than any of the last six Presidents. Now what will be next? Worldwide war and the collapse of the post-World War II order?  Or as Donald Trump … Read more