RHP

‘t Fight the Trend

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The market pin action has been exceptionally strong.  Don’t fight the trend is a popular saying many people have uttered along with ‘ other profound market nuggets of wisdom. They work until they don’t.  Late breaking headlines about non-essential U.S. Government employees being told to leave the MidEast caused oil to spike $3 and the market to sell off some late Friday.  Yet full blown war between Israel and Iran is greeted enthusiastically. Perhaps too much so. Israel hasn’t been able to get out of Gaza, so Iran is a problem multitude of order more challenging. For the moment the … Read more

Insider Buying Week 11-15-24- Animal Spirits are Back!

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After weeks of nonexistent insider buying, other than hedge funds which I generally dismiss as informed but not that meaningful OPM other people’s money, insiders have come back with a vengeance.  Some likely unleashed by Trump’s change of regime optimism, while others were likely motivated as the market prematurely selected winners and losers. Centene insiders began buying shares shortly after the election results raised concerns about government funding for healthcare. Enphase, already struggling, faced further declines as solar energy incentives came into question. Meanwhile, semiconductor stocks, with the sole exception of Nvidia, are dropping sharply due to the potential reintroduction … Read more

Insider Buying Week 08-09-24

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Someone wrote last week that the situation in the market was ripe for a crash, reminiscent of the Crash of 1987. I lived through that, so I have some personal observations. Name: Thomas Arthur Bell Position: CEO Transaction Date: 2024-08-01 Shares Bought: 1,712 Average Price Paid: $145.04 Cost: $248,305 Company: Leidos Holdings Inc. (LDOS) Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and has its headquarters in Reston, Virginia. Leidos Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries offer services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets in the United States and abroad. The company’s segments include Defense Solutions, Civil, and … Read more

Insider Buying Week 8-18-23 before the Potential Powell Shitstorm in Jackson Hole

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We look at insider buying this week before the potential shitstorm next week.  It’s hard to believe that Longs can make money on the S&P 500 before a looming Fed Chairmen’s speech on Friday, August 25, at the annual Jackson Hole conference The central bankers, policymakers, and economists at Jackson Hole attempt to steer the global economy.  Powell unveiled his Paul Volker channeling act last Summer, setting off a one thousand-point drop in the Dow.  That’s too obvious a trade and likely crowded. If Powell is interpreted as anything dovish on the rate hikes, there could be a rip-your-face-off rally.  But … Read more

A Few Insider Buys and they Pay off Big -Week Ending April 24th

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Director Stephen Luczo continues to buy when others retreat. This time he bought $1.1m of AT&T at $29.38.  When rates are near zero AT&T is paying out 7% dividend yield. He added to his Morgan Stanley bet $734.9K at $38.68. Geoffrey Yang bought 6,754 at $29.39 on 4/24/20. Several insiders participated in a secondary for Darden at $58.5.  DRI closed today at $78.50 Director Gerber bought $3 million of Haliburton at $8.68. HAL closed today at $8.91.  This one takes balls and Gerber has them as he bought $1 million on March 13th at $6.78 Director Plants bought 95,238 Cutera … Read more

Insider Buying has all but Disappeared -for now, Week Ending April 17th

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The tale of the tape is disappointing.  After an initial rash of buying, the insiders have disappeared. The most notable buy of the week was Director Stephen Burke’s massive $6.59 million dollar buy of JP Morgan, increasing his holdings by 50%. JPM responded, soaring almost 10% the following day, dragging the beleaguered sector with it. After the close, Key Corp President reported buying 100,000 shares at $10.36.  I expect KEY to pop Monday morning absent a market sell-off. Williams Sonoma Chairman Bellamy stepped up and bought this home cooking retailer, laying out $485,250 to purchase 9600 shares at $50.55. WSM … Read more

What were insiders buying during this historic market sell-off?

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This was a week like none other- well, that’s not quite correct, a week like only 4 others in terms of market losses since 1945.  The Coronavirus put the stock market into intensive care. It remains to be seen if the general population follows it into the sick ward. The Dow  closed Friday, 357 points, or 1.4%, lower, on its seventh day in the red. At its worst, the index was down nearly 1,086 points. It dropped 3,583 points this week, including its worst one-day point drop in history on Thursday. On a percentage basis, Thursday’s 4.4% slump was the worst performance since … Read more

Notable Insider Buying Week Ending 12-20-19

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CB Duncan continues to amass sizable buys of Enterprise Products Partners, LP.  This midstream oil and gas operator  yields 6.29%. This seems like a buy in a low yield world but bear in mind, several MLPs  in this space yield double digits and have sizable insider buying as well. If you believe the combustion engine will be replaced by EVs in the next 10 years, don’t buy these MLPs. I for one don’t believe the market appreciates the complexity and cost of making lithium batteries. A director bought $1.28 million of peer Energy Transfer Partners at $12.79 per share, yielding … Read more

Insiders Put the Petal to the Metal as Animal Spirits Show Signs of Life

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Animal spirits are picking up.  This is the most buying we’ve seen since the market sell-off last December. One thing for sure, Insiders buy stocks when they think they are cheap.  Highlights are: Several insiders bought GE stock immediately prior to and immediately after Harry Markapolis’s interview on CNBC where he alleged fraud. Axogen Chairman bought $1 million worth of stock after the company she leads plunged 30% on weaker earnings forecast Outdoor billboard leader, Clear Channel newly appointed Chairman bought $913k at $2.28 per share.  CCO is loaded with debt. Three CIT insiders took advantage of low prices to … Read more