New York Mercantile Exchange

Like Herding Cats? Try Trading Oil

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Today’s rampant fluctuation in oil was a perfect example of how much political and headline risk from Iran surround the markets.  While nothing fundamental has changed from our initial assessment of the Iran situation seen here, all it took was Iran reiterating they are pissed and the IEA emphasizing to the EU that reserves exist for a reason. NEW YORK—Iran’s threat to immediately halt oil sales to the European Union pushed prices above $101 a barrel, but crude retreated after the International Energy Agency later said it could release strategic inventories if a supply emergency occurred.  Light, sweet crude oil for … Read more

Is Natural Gas a Buy?

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Since mid 2008 natural gas has been completely decimated by the market with the past eight months have been particularly bearish, cutting natural gas stocks in half.  Take a look at UNG for instance, down close to 60% from it’s June high of 12.32 a share.  So with natural gas bouncing off it’s all time low is it time to take a bullish stance on the commodity?  Recent options activity has spiked dramatically, with a call to put ratio of more than six to one.  With options activity a good forward looking indicator of investor sentiment, this is generally a very bullish … Read more