IEA

‘t be for a long time if ever

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  As of 2011, approximately 89 million barrels of oil and liquid fuels were consumed per day worldwide. That works out to nearly 32 billion barrels a year. Where is the bulk of oil demand growth going to come from? In the next five years, almost half of global oil demand growth will come from China according to the IEA, and this trend is set to continue to 2035 as oil demand from the transportation sector is growing strongly in countries such as China and India. In contrast, oil demand among OECD countries is expected to decline over the next … Read more

Like Herding Cats? Try Trading Oil

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Today’s rampant fluctuation in oil was a perfect example of how much political and headline risk from Iran surround the markets.  While nothing fundamental has changed from our initial assessment of the Iran situation seen here, all it took was Iran reiterating they are pissed and the IEA emphasizing to the EU that reserves exist for a reason. NEW YORK—Iran’s threat to immediately halt oil sales to the European Union pushed prices above $101 a barrel, but crude retreated after the International Energy Agency later said it could release strategic inventories if a supply emergency occurred.  Light, sweet crude oil for … Read more

Shocking fact about Iran oil embargo consequences

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Without question, if I knew that a disruption of oil supplies from Iran would occur, I’d bet the farm on a dramatic rise in crude oil prices.  But how rationale is this popular consensus opinion?  I quote from Daniel Yergins, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of  the Modern World. “Currently, IEA nations have about 1.5 billion barrels of public stocks, of which about 700 million barrels are in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Were Iranian exports to disappear from the market, the 1.5 billion could compensate for the shortfall for more than two years.” So rationale expectations and … Read more

"The insomniac hedge fund guy" is a moniker Harvey Sax, the portfolio manager for The Insiders Fund has used from time to time on email, blog , and social media posts. While Mr. Sax is the portfolio manager of The Insiders Fund, these posts are not communications from, nor endorsed by, Alpha Wealth Funds, LLC or any of its managed funds. References to Alpha Wealth Funds or its affiliates are for identification only and do not imply sponsorship or approval. All registered trademarks herein are the property of their respective owners.

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