Insider Buying Week Ending November 15, 2019

As the earnings blackout period ends, there are a ton of interesting insider buys. We are going to analyze ALL of them that seem interesting, particularly the ones that look like they may have a good chart setup for profitable trades. Read on and find out what insiders are investing in. Hope springs in the oil patch.  Antero Resources Corp Director bought 178,000 shares at $2.79 for $496k substantially increasing his holdings by 266%.  Just about all the E&P companies are making new lows and I’d prefer to buy OXY with its outsized dividend. The irony here is that the … Read more

Notable Insider Buying Week Ending November 8-2019

As a rule, we only look at material amounts of money, $200 thousand or more, as anything less could just be window dressing. The bar is different from selling because the natural state of management is to be sellers. This is because most companies provide significant amounts of management compensation packages as stock. Therefore, with selling, we analyze for unusual patterns, such as insiders selling 25 percent or more of their holdings or multiple insiders selling near 52-week lows. Another red flag is large planned sale programs that start without warning. Unfortunately, the public information disclosure requirements about these programs … Read more

Seeking Blue Revisit

We developed an investment thesis based on the discounted cash flow valuations of some of the most credit worthy companies in the S&P 500.  All of them blue chips, trading at substantial discounts to their net worth, we called this “Seeking Blue”.  You can see our original analysis at http://workshops.saxangle.com/seeking-blue/.  We decided to revisit this valuation.  The bottom line is that many of these companies remain substantially undervalued.  And this is with our pessimistic scenario of zero growth and pressure on operating margins. The results from July 18,2012 are below:   Description Ticker Price  7/18/12 5/3/13 Change Pfizer PFE  $23.14  $28.96 … Read more

What really happened today

Once the dust settles, pundits and analysts will begin to start calculating what we’ve been telling you all along.  Many, many blue chip stocks are dirt cheap based on discounted cash flow analysis with the risk free rate of 2 %or even 3% on the 10 year treasury.  Stay away from cyclicals and invest in the highest credit quality stocks like Coke, McDonald’s, Verizon, JP Morgan, BP, Bristol Myers, Kellogg, Microsoft etc.  These stocks are all way undervalued.  The reason the Bernanke shot his bazooka today is that he doesn’t want to go down as the Fed Reserve Chairman that … Read more

Blue Chip Is The New Alpha – Seeking Alpha

We loved this provocative article from Seeking Alpha, especially the quote from Alexander Graham Bell.  We may be biased though as we are also long JPM,K,MSFT, INTC, MCD, PG and BP and the author, Stephen Perry, is interning for us this summer. Blue Chip Is The New AlphaJuly 30, 2012  | 3 comments  |  includes: AAPL, ABT, CL, CVX, DD, GE, IBM, JNJ, JPM, KO, MCD, MDT, MMM, MRK, MSFT, PEP, PFE, PG, T, TGT, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOMIts been difficult to find alpha in a market that is so volatile and dependent on global macro events, but I think Ive … Read more