Crocs Inc

Insider Buying Week 11-01-24

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We are in a malaise. It’s that period when most insiders are restricted from trading in their company’s stock due to the upcoming quarterly earnings. But let’s not kid ourselves. If you want to sell, there is a way. You can fire up the ole 10B-5 1 get out of jail plan and fire away. Paying close attention to what insiders do with their money has historically been a successful investment method. However, it doesn’t always outperform the market, but it does keep exuberance in check when herd behavior runs markets higher than good economic sense should dictate. With that … Read more

Insider Buying Week 08-09-24

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Someone wrote last week that the situation in the market was ripe for a crash, reminiscent of the Crash of 1987. I lived through that, so I have some personal observations. Name: Thomas Arthur Bell Position: CEO Transaction Date: 2024-08-01 Shares Bought: 1,712 Average Price Paid: $145.04 Cost: $248,305 Company: Leidos Holdings Inc. (LDOS) Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and has its headquarters in Reston, Virginia. Leidos Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries offer services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets in the United States and abroad. The company’s segments include Defense Solutions, Civil, and … Read more

The Beauty Health Co

Insider Buying -Interest rates may have peaked but the damage to earnings is just beginning

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Market gains are muted, and traders are quick to snatch profits.  Rallies are reversed almost daily as market direction is indecisive.  By many measures, bargains in the stock market are hard to come by.  The earnings yield of the S&P 500 is 3.98%, and the P.E. is historically on the low side.  Earnings surprises are met with a sell-the-news trading mentality.  The economy is showing signs of stalling, yet the Fed has made it clear, that if rate hikes are near the end of the cycle, high-interest rates will be here for quite a while.  10% car loans and 7.3% … Read more

Insider Buying Week 8-18-23 before the Potential Powell Shitstorm in Jackson Hole

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We look at insider buying this week before the potential shitstorm next week.  It’s hard to believe that Longs can make money on the S&P 500 before a looming Fed Chairmen’s speech on Friday, August 25, at the annual Jackson Hole conference The central bankers, policymakers, and economists at Jackson Hole attempt to steer the global economy.  Powell unveiled his Paul Volker channeling act last Summer, setting off a one thousand-point drop in the Dow.  That’s too obvious a trade and likely crowded. If Powell is interpreted as anything dovish on the rate hikes, there could be a rip-your-face-off rally.  But … Read more

Insider Buying Week 8-11-23 and the Summer Doldrums

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We are not surprised by the momentum of the oil and gas sector, as it was only a matter of time before its strong fundamentals collided with short sellers and skeptical money managers. We wrote last week about the strong signals from Exxon’s latest quarterly earnings. Activist Exxon board member Jerry Ubben’s purchase of Exxon may have been the biggest act of his illustrious career.  CEO Darren Woods is transforming  Exxon into a juggernaut of earnings  AND the undisputed heavyweight of both hydrocarbons, renewables, and carbon capture. Its stands to dominate all.  According to Woods, there is no reason for … Read more

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is a Dangerous man

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I wrote to clients in the February update that  Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is a dangerous fellow.  Last week he proved that causing a run on the banking system.  Ironically if the creation of a new Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP)had been in place the week before, Silicon Valley Bank might have avoided failure and bankruptcy. Powell’s rapid hike in interest rates as a cure for the supply-side inflation shock is likely to be as successful as the ancient but now discredited medical practice of bleeding the patient. If Powell was the CEO of a public company, activist shareholders would … Read more

Insider Buying Week 5-26-22 Best Week Since November 2020

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll through the significant buys of the last year. The S&P 500 scorched the short-sellers, racking up the best performing since November 2020, up an astounding 6.19% for the week. So is this the all-clear sign?  We wrote last week a Temporary Truce in the Alpha War Zone that the insider buying sell ratio in the NASDAQ stocks looked like it had reached a short-term buy signal.  I hope you were able to take advantage of that. There will probably be a little carry through from such a big move … Read more

Insider Buying Week 5-20-22 Trying to Go Up on a Down Escalator

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll through the significant buys of the last year. I spent much of last weekend toiling over the Insiders Report.  Insider buying is picking up in the ruins of the NASDAQ but not enough to waive the all-clear flag that I described in the last post.  The  S&P 500 dipped into “bear” territory Friday only to stage a furious machine-driven short-covering rally that erased a 560 point decline in the last 30 minutes of the day.  Read on for the brave souls that keep trying to ride up the down … Read more

Insider Buying Week 3-18-22 NASDAQ Makes the Biggest Weekly Gain in History

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. I wrote last week that “For many people, the obvious response is to buy nothing, do nothing until the bear market is over. We wish it was that easy as when some stocks have corrected as sharply as they have, down 50-70% in many cases. When they turn, the upswing will be so quick and significant, violent even that there is no way of getting back in anywhere near the bottom. Last week the S&P 500 stormed 5.8% higher and the average … Read more

More Insiders are Buying but the Selling is Relentless 3-4-22

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. All bear markets end in a crescendo, literally an explosion of insider buying.  I believe we are in a classic bear market.  The signposts are obvious.  Beat and raise quarters are met with yawns if not outright sell-offs. Good news is met with brief bouts of buying but soon dissipates into the underlying negative downward trend.  Of course, there are always stocks that work even in a bear market but it is much harder making money on the long side than it … Read more

Insider Buying week 02-18-22 Ukraine is thrown under the Bus

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. The war is on. Biden made that clear Friday after the close. What he made equally clear is that our allies are completely confused about what we would do beyond righteous indignation. We’ve got a lot of RIGHTEOUS INDIGNATION to go around. In fact, I might have been dreaming but I swear I saw diplomats from the EU and the German federation of states wearing placards shoulder to shoulder that said Righteous Indignation- Nah  that was a dream If there was ever … Read more