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Our Strategy

The edge, explained

Why insider buying works, how we read the SEC’s Form 4 feed, and what we filter out.

01The Why

Why following insiders works

Everyone online has an opinion. Insiders bet their own after-tax money.

Proven.

The research

Anyone with real market experience pays close attention to what insiders are doing. After all, who knows a business better than the people running it? The definitive academic study (Seyhun, MIT Press) backs it up: firms with net insider buying beat the market. Net sellers lagged it.

One reason.

The logic

The natural state of management is to be a seller. Most companies pay heavily in stock and options, so sales alone tell you little. Insiders sell for a hundred reasons: taxes, a house, a divorce. They buy for one: they think it’s going up.

2 business days.

The Form 4 filing

Whenever a corporate insider, such as an officer, director, or beneficial owner of more than 10% of a company’s stock, trades company securities, it must be submitted electronically via the SEC EDGAR system within two business days of the transaction. Most people don’t keep track of it 24/7. We do.

02The Code

How to read a Form 4

The SEC’s raw feed is thousands of filings a week, most of it is insignificant. Harvey screens the tape by hand so what you see is always relevant. Here’s the column he reads first, straight off the form:

Form 4 · Table I · Column 3 — Transaction Code
SEC 1474 · OMB 3235-0287
PPurchaseAn open-market buy. Often times a real indication of conviction.← the one that matters
SSaleA hundred possible reasons.
AAward / GrantPay, not conviction.
MOption exerciseOften paired with a sale.
FTax withholdingMechanical, not a signal.
C/XConversion / ExerciseStructural, read in context.

SIGNAL: PSix codes on the form. Five get filtered out by hand. Everything on our tape starts at P because an insider writing a personal check is the only line on a Form 4 that can’t be explained away.

03The Buy Filter

What makes a buy worth watching

Real money

“P” codes only: open-market buys, not grants.

Conviction seats

CEOs, CFOs & directors over junior officers.

Paying up

Buys at or above market price, not waiting for a dip.

Cluster buying

Multiple insiders and the same name means a louder signal.

No single marker is a green light on its own. The more that stack up, the more the buy earns a closer look.

04The Straight Talk

What we ignore, and where we’re honest

a.We ignore 10% holdersThey tend to be managing OPM (other people’s money) not the management conviction we’re trying to read. A few are world-class investors worth following in their own right, but that’s a different game.
b.Insiders can be wrongDon’t let anyone fool you into believing they never make mistakes. In many cases they have no more idea what the future holds than you or me, and you can lose money following them.
c.The signal is only the startInsiders have as close to perfect information as anyone can have, yet their motives are not always pure. A filing gets a name onto the desk. The analysis is what makes the difference. Do your own.

We have lost money following insiders, and we curse aloud: what were they thinking! That’s exactly why every buy still has to earn its way through the filter above.The Insomniac Hedge Fund Guy

05The Desk

What we read every day

The raw data is free from the SEC. The edge is in how you organize it and in reading what everyone else skips.

The source
SEC EDGAREvery Form 4 hits the SEC’s EDGAR system within two business days. Free, public and almost nobody reads it 24/7.
The payoff
AI Tools
The Insomniac Hedge Fund Guy uses AI to separate the wheat from the chaff and identify which Form 4 filings qualify as notable buys. Not all insider purchases are the same—some provide much stronger signals than others.
The context
Fly on the WallOur go-to financial news service for showing us what’s moving around a filing: earnings, analyst comments, and whatever else could be pushing the stock while the insider was buying.
The business
The 10-K itselfWire services are for speed. For what a business actually does, we probe the 10-K: the most accurate, succinct description a company will ever give you.
06The Proof

Tracked Results

See how the insider purchases we identified have performed. Each investment is measured from the reported Form 4 purchase price through the latest market close. This is what following conviction looks like.

Ticker Bought Buy price Recent Return Annualized
1 AAOIApplied Optoelectronics · Fiber-optic components for data centers and broadband networks Director Aug 2025 $22.54 $121.20 +438%

+594%
2 TTMITTM Technologies · Printed circuit boards for aerospace, defense & computing Director Aug 2025 $41.32 $156.00 +278%

+373%
3 MRVLMarvell Technology · Data-infrastructure and AI semiconductor company Chairman Sep 2025 $77.09 $246.05 +219%

+367%
4 MUMicron Technology · Memory and storage chips (DRAM & NAND) Director Jan 2026 $337.14 $976.63 +190%

+982%
5 INTCIntel · Semiconductor maker — processors and chip foundry services EVP, CFO Jan 2026 $42.50 $120.35 +183%

+1,138%
6 CNCCentene · Managed-care health insurer for government programs CEO Aug 2025 $25.50 $67.86 +166%

+205%

Marked to verified prices as of July 5, 2026. Annualized extrapolates each holding period and is not a forecast. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

The tape shows you who’s buying. The Guy’s Active Picks show you where we’re putting our conviction.