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Netflix Gets some Insider Love -Insider Buying week 01-28-22

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  Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Scroll the significant buys of the last year. Last week, I started the blog saying, “at some point making money begins to matter. I’ve long scoffed at relative value analysis as a way to cultivate bad habits.  It’s addictive and should be banned. Comparing companies by silly metrics as a multiple of sales versus a multiple of earnings seems insane yet the madness of crowd behavior is a well-documented phenomenon.  It’s called bubbles and we’ve been in one for quite some time.  I love bubble investing- just point me to … Read more

Another Roller Coaster Week on the Coronavirus Train- Insider Buying is Picking Up

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The headlines don’t stop. Most of them scary and getting worse by the day. That didn’t stop insiders from buying falling knives but not in the quantity I’m looking for to mark the all clear.  The pace of buying is clearly picking up, though IT SEEMS that Friday the 28th was the climax and insiders paused as the news headlines worsened about the virus.  In times of increasing investor panic, insiders will restore confidence, especially when they buy across the board. In this post, we examine insiders purchasing $200,000 of more of their company’s shares, looking for clues that may … Read more

Seeking Blue Revisit

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We developed an investment thesis based on the discounted cash flow valuations of some of the most credit worthy companies in the S&P 500.  All of them blue chips, trading at substantial discounts to their net worth, we called this “Seeking Blue”.  You can see our original analysis at http://workshops.saxangle.com/seeking-blue/.  We decided to revisit this valuation.  The bottom line is that many of these companies remain substantially undervalued.  And this is with our pessimistic scenario of zero growth and pressure on operating margins. The results from July 18,2012 are below:   Description Ticker Price  7/18/12 5/3/13 Change Pfizer PFE  $23.14  $28.96 … Read more

What really happened today

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Once the dust settles, pundits and analysts will begin to start calculating what we’ve been telling you all along.  Many, many blue chip stocks are dirt cheap based on discounted cash flow analysis with the risk free rate of 2 %or even 3% on the 10 year treasury.  Stay away from cyclicals and invest in the highest credit quality stocks like Coke, McDonald’s, Verizon, JP Morgan, BP, Bristol Myers, Kellogg, Microsoft etc.  These stocks are all way undervalued.  The reason the Bernanke shot his bazooka today is that he doesn’t want to go down as the Fed Reserve Chairman that … Read more

Blue Chip Is The New Alpha – Seeking Alpha

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We loved this provocative article from Seeking Alpha, especially the quote from Alexander Graham Bell.  We may be biased though as we are also long JPM,K,MSFT, INTC, MCD, PG and BP and the author, Stephen Perry, is interning for us this summer. Blue Chip Is The New AlphaJuly 30, 2012  | 3 comments  |  includes: AAPL, ABT, CL, CVX, DD, GE, IBM, JNJ, JPM, KO, MCD, MDT, MMM, MRK, MSFT, PEP, PFE, PG, T, TGT, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOMIts been difficult to find alpha in a market that is so volatile and dependent on global macro events, but I think Ive … Read more

Weekend Reading Links

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The weekend is always a great time to catch up on some of the week’s reading you missed… Markets have gotten conditioned to central bankers flooding the market with money every time something goes wrong. [The Psy-Fi Blog] A profile of Jonathan Ive the “design genius” behind the rise of Apple. [I Heart Wall Street] Market bubbles and investor psychology.  [Vanguard Group] Buffett’s worst investment ever (and its not what you think) and7 other unusual things I learned about Warren Buffett. [The Altucher Confidential] Why are some cities happier than others?  [The Atlantic] Sirius is Clearning up its balance sheet. [Sirius Buzz] The frequency … Read more