Insider Buying 03-07-25 Chaos-2.0 Treasure Hunt Continues

CHAOS 2.0 unfolds as expected with a sharp drop in interest rates as market participants pivot from worrying about inflation to crumbling public sentiment and the likelihood of rising unemployment numbers.  February employment numbers failed to assuage the sense that the U.S. economy is about to rollover as an inconsistent implementation of tariffs, pall-knell like approach to trimming Government fat, and a clear failure to lead the electorate has created a witch’s pot of discontent.  Stocks are predictably down, the only question being is this a trend or a bottom. The jury is still out on that. As for me, … Read more

Insider Buying Week 11-15-24- Animal Spirits are Back!

After weeks of nonexistent insider buying, other than hedge funds which I generally dismiss as informed but not that meaningful OPM other people’s money, insiders have come back with a vengeance.  Some likely unleashed by Trump’s change of regime optimism, while others were likely motivated as the market prematurely selected winners and losers. Centene insiders began buying shares shortly after the election results raised concerns about government funding for healthcare. Enphase, already struggling, faced further declines as solar energy incentives came into question. Meanwhile, semiconductor stocks, with the sole exception of Nvidia, are dropping sharply due to the potential reintroduction … Read more

Insider Buying Week 03-08-24 FOMO or FEAR?

I’ve been struggling to explain the speculative frenzy I sense in the markets. Stocks routinely go up and down 20% on earnings or even something as trivial as an analyst upgrade or downgrade yet the underlying market seems calm, benign even. The VIX, which is the current mathematic model for measuring short-term volatility, steadily trends lower. The VIX is a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500, and by now, everyone understands that the capitalization-weighted nature of that index dominates the recent stock market performance. The popular but obsolete already term ‘Magnificent 7’ refers to a handful of mega … Read more