NWL

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is a Dangerous man

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I wrote to clients in the February update that  Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is a dangerous fellow.  Last week he proved that causing a run on the banking system.  Ironically if the creation of a new Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP)had been in place the week before, Silicon Valley Bank might have avoided failure and bankruptcy. Powell’s rapid hike in interest rates as a cure for the supply-side inflation shock is likely to be as successful as the ancient but now discredited medical practice of bleeding the patient. If Powell was the CEO of a public company, activist shareholders would … Read more

The Fed has a Hammer but needs a Scalpel Insider Buying Week 2-24-23

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It’s a commonly held view amongst market strategists that the Fed follows interest rates, not determines them. You don’t have to look very far to see plenty of evidence of that.  It’s a quiet conspiracy amongst talking heads and futures markets that economic events and statistics are immediately reflected in real-time price action in the bond markets, dot plots, and other dynamic markets. The Fed will often talk up its view, and by the time they do take some action on rates, it’s hardly a surprise. This is, of course, by design. The Powell Fed believes in transparency and no … Read more

Insider Buying Week Ending November 15, 2019

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As the earnings blackout period ends, there are a ton of interesting insider buys. We are going to analyze ALL of them that seem interesting, particularly the ones that look like they may have a good chart setup for profitable trades. Read on and find out what insiders are investing in. Hope springs in the oil patch.  Antero Resources Corp Director bought 178,000 shares at $2.79 for $496k substantially increasing his holdings by 266%.  Just about all the E&P companies are making new lows and I’d prefer to buy OXY with its outsized dividend. The irony here is that the … Read more