Insider Buying Week 02-23-24 Is Following Insider Buying Dead as a Strategy?

Insider buying has been noticeably scarce in this bull leg of a market making all-time highs. The small amount of buying is not performing particularly well either.  You might find this news surprising from a hedge fund manager who has made a living reading these tea leaves for 23 years.  Take last Thursday, February 22nd, the morning after Nvidia reported blockbuster earnings.  I’m tracking about 400 stocks where insiders have purchased at least $200,000 of their company’s stock in the last year. This number has remained constant at 300-400 for the last 23 years. The average returns of those stocks … Read more

Insiders Retreat and Turn into Sellers Week Ending March 27th

The Washington Service reports insider buying ratio at the highest level they’v recorded since the Great Recession in the fall of 2008 and the retest in 2009.. They look at a 30 day moving average ratio of insider buys to sells.  All previous markets have sharply rebounded when this occurred. Is this time different? We track insider purchases over $200K very carefully and accurately. Last Friday there were only six buys over $200k and 145 sells.  It seems even insider buying is now rolling over.  That is likely because as we near the end of the quarter, most insiders are … Read more

Another Roller Coaster Week on the Coronavirus Train- Insider Buying is Picking Up

The headlines don’t stop. Most of them scary and getting worse by the day. That didn’t stop insiders from buying falling knives but not in the quantity I’m looking for to mark the all clear.  The pace of buying is clearly picking up, though IT SEEMS that Friday the 28th was the climax and insiders paused as the news headlines worsened about the virus.  In times of increasing investor panic, insiders will restore confidence, especially when they buy across the board. In this post, we examine insiders purchasing $200,000 of more of their company’s shares, looking for clues that may … Read more