EOG

Getting the big things right-Insider Buying Week 1-20-23

by

Following insider behavior closely was not a very successful strategy last year. They got a lot of things wrong.  Not too surprising when you look closely at it. Insiders may know their companies far better than anyone else, but their macro crystal ball might not be better than yours or mine.  Last year had two black swan events, a proxy war between the West and Russia over the invasion of Ukraine and rapidly rising interest rates.  The investment strategy that shined last year was global macro. After many years of relative underperformance global macro rose to the top.  Getting these … Read more

Insider Buying week 12-03-21 -Let me Count the Ways I Hate SPACS

by

Curious how well insiders are doing with their buys? Click on this link or image above to scroll the significant buys of the last year. I’ve been monitoring insider behavior and how it impacts stock prices for about as long as anyone out there I haven’t seen much that shocks me or changes my perception of the usefulness of this information.  Now I have.  Normally significant insider buying will put a floor on a down-trending stock.  That’s changed with SPACS.  No matter how encouraging the news is or robust the insider buying is, when you have big shareholders waiting in … Read more

Notable Insider Buys Week of 8-23-19 as Trump Tweets Scare Investors

by

We are throwing out AESE as this wasn’t filed correctly and upon further review, it was deemed not to be an open market purchase Fossil Group insiders bought $2.2 million worth of this watch and teen wear company. FOSL group is in a race down the down staircase with decreasing revenues and decreasing SGA. Change Health Care is McKesson’s giant conglomerate of health tech companies recently gone public with Blackstone as their private equity investors. I haven’t had good luck with private equity IPOs, saddled with debt and selling institutional investors. This one doesn’t have any long term debt but it … Read more

‘s mine

by

It’s hard to find the contrarian view in the oil patch these days but some of our contrarian observations are: A barrel of oil is worth far more in the U.S. than in other parts of the world. The U.S .is the most stable place in the world with large proved reserves. Most discovered deposits of oil are in politically unstable countries or in hard to reach locations with undeveloped infrastructure like the Arctic or ocean floor Large oil and gas exploration companies like Exxon, BP, Royal Dutch, etc. plan capital budgets for decades out. If the price of WTI … Read more

Crude oil in free fall creates long term buying opportunity

by

I think the sharp drop in crude and the decline in some US centric shale plays creates a buying opportunity.  We bought Anadarko, Apache, Continental Resources, EOG, a little Chesapeake and quite a bit of Occidental today.  It’s a falling knife for sure but we are probably a lot closer to the bottom than the top. We don’t pretend to be able to portend the future price of crude. I don’t think the CEO of Exxon can do that.  What is clear though is that the US has become the most reliable, safest place in the world to explore and … Read more