‘t Fight the Trend

The market pin action has been exceptionally strong.  Don’t fight the trend is a popular saying many people have uttered along with ‘ other profound market nuggets of wisdom. They work until they don’t.  Late breaking headlines about non-essential U.S. Government employees being told to leave the MidEast caused oil to spike $3 and the market to sell off some late Friday.  Yet full blown war between Israel and Iran is greeted enthusiastically. Perhaps too much so. Israel hasn’t been able to get out of Gaza, so Iran is a problem multitude of order more challenging. For the moment the … Read more

Insider Buying 02-21-25 Welcome to Chaos 2.0

I refer to the first Trump administration as Chaos 1.0.  Many good things can come from disruption but generally the markets like predictability and order. It was only a worldwide pandemic that upstaged the near constant firing and turnover in the Administration.   It was the real-world political version of the popular reality TV show, The Apprentice.  According to the Brookings Institute, Trump’s A team turnover from year to year was 92%, far higher than any of the last six Presidents. Now what will be next? Worldwide war and the collapse of the post-World War II order?  Or as Donald Trump … Read more