‘s almost a certainty the U.S. intelligence agencies knew who blew up the Nord Stream Pipeline

First of all, this occurred in relatively shallow waters, 80-110 meters in depth, completely dominated by Nato vessels. If the CIA and Howard Hughes could raise a Russian sub from ultra-deep waters in the Pacific thousands of miles from shore, do you think it’s credible that the U.S intelligence agencies don’t know who set off explosives in an area where Nato was recently conducting massive naval exercises? It was just in June that fourteen NATO allies along with two NATO partner nations, Finland and Sweden, were participating in the exercise Baltic Operations (BALTOPS 22) with over 45 ships, more than … Read more

Long Overdue Rule Change on Insider Trading

Let’s hope it comes about. I’ve been talking about this for years.  Insiders have rigorous disclosure mechanisms when they buy stock but little to none with these “canned ready-to-go trading plans” known as Rule 10b5-1. They are an abomination. It’s about time someone does something to level the playing field for the public. https://www.reuters.com/business/us-secs-gensler-says-has-asked-staff-consider-new-rules-company-trading-plans-2021-06-07/ WASHINGTON, June 7 (Reuters) – The head of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) said on Monday he has asked staff to tighten up a legal safe-harbor that allows corporate executives to buy or sell company stock without running afoul of insider trading laws. The … Read more

November is in the Record Books- The Insiders Fund up 43%

November is done and it was one for the records, S&P 500 up 10.75%.  The stock market is now up over 12.10% not including dividends. It’s not official yet but it will be pretty darn close to it.  The Insiders Fund was up an astounding 42.96% in the month of November alone, and now up over 16% for the year before fees.  The last time we saw a month up 40% was October  2001 and ended the year up over 64.73%.  Stock picking and non-diversification helped greatly. Diversifying investments is prudent but at some point, you have to go back … Read more

The Week Democrats Found Religion and Republicans Found Science

POTUS tweeted he tested positive for Covid-19.  Tellingly it was the most liked Trump tweet ever.  The President’s demand for loyalty is now looking like it could extend to death as Trump conducts super spreader events and legions of followers succumb to the virus. The market had its worst September in 9 years.  Insider buying was anemic.   In spite of the headlines, the market was up 1.52% for the week.  Our notable insider buys were up 5.12% STEELCASE INC up 14.44% At Home Group Inc. up 12.10% PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS LP  up 5.12% GOLUB CAPITAL BDC Inc. up 5/09% Douglas … Read more

$AMC CEO Aron puts his money where his mouth is in this CNBC breaking interview

AMC wants to break film’s fourth wall with bet on virtual reality 53 Mins AgoAdam Aron, AMC Entertainment president & CEO, and Kevin Wall, Dreamscape Immersive co-chairman, discusses AMC teaming up with Dreamscape to bring virtual reality to the movie theater experience. I’m dubious about VR in a movie theatre when its hard enough to pull off an engaging immersive experience with a dedicated headset and high end graphic chips in a computer but what appeals to me here is two fold: CEO all but leaks that business is great in September and things the holiday season will be big. … Read more

SEC Discloses Edgar Corporate Filing System Was Hacked in 2016 – WSJ

SEC Discloses Edgar Corporate Filing System Was Hacked in 2016 Breach may have allowed trading that profited from nonpublic information, regulator says Source: SEC Discloses Edgar Corporate Filing System Was Hacked in 2016 – WSJ It’s no surprise that hackers would covet this information but you don’t have to steal it. The SEC mandates that officers, directors, and 10% shareholders file a Form 4 detailing their buying and selling of their companies’ securities within 48 hours of the date of the transaction. The SEC makes this info immediately available to the public. This is as close to “inside information” as … Read more

Enercom day 2

Chief Oil Economist DNB Bank  Global View on Oil Market Most unplanned shutdowns since 2011. Opec cut production but did not cut exports. OPEC exported from inventory so inventory drew down. US rig count increased 10 rigs week versus their estimate of 5 OPEC Waterborne Crude exports have come down Saudi Arabia had drawn down 33% of its foreign reserves Demand growth is surprising to the upside Stock draws if OPEC deliver according to our base case Shale growing massively in the US Not in oversupply any longer on the global picture US Shale needs 400k barrels per day to … Read more

The End of Typing: The Next Billion Mobile Users Will Rely on Video and Voice – WSJ

The internet’s global expansion is entering a new phase, and it looks decidedly unlike the last one.Instead of typing searches and emails, a wave of newcomers—“the next billion,” the tech industry calls them—is avoiding text, using voice activation and communicating with images. They are a swath of the world’s less-educated, online for the first time thanks to low-end smartphones, cheap data plans and intuitive apps that let them navigate despite poor literacy.   Source: The End of Typing: The Next Billion Mobile Users Will Rely on Video and Voice – WSJ

Utah Hedge Fund Trades on Insider Information and Ranks Amongst Top 10 in the World

Harvey Sax’s The Insiders Fund generates one-year returns of 33.02% net of fees   PARK CITY, UT, August 2, 2017 – A small hedge fund based in Park City, Utah is gaining worldwide recognition for generating record breaking returns through its use of insider information. The Insiders Fund, managed by veteran investor Harvey Sax, has generated one-year returns of 33.02% net of all fees. That performance ranks the Fund amongst the top 10 “Long/Short” hedge funds in the world.   “Everyone knows the best stock market information is inside information,” says Harvey Sax, portfolio manager of The Insiders Fund. “It’s common … Read more

Hedge funds gripped by crisis of performance – FT.com

If you think your hedge fund has been lagging the market, you’re not alone.  Apparently its gotten harder to beat the market.  Not that its ever been easy but this seems to bear out what I have always suspected.  Bull markets are a bitch for stock pickers.   By Dan McCrum Hedge funds have a performance problem. Since the turn of the decade, Wall Street’s master stock pickers have spectacularly failed to beat the market.The crisis of performance comes as the industry is under intense scrutiny over the source of past returns, with SAC Capital facing criminal insider trading charges … Read more

Entrepreneurial events firm Summit Series acquires Utah’s Powder Mountain ski resort for $40m – The Next Web

About an hour’s drive from Salt Lake City, lies Utah’s Powder Mountain. The once sleepy mountain town is about to be reinvigorated as a destination for the world’s most talented creators, artists, entrepreneurs, activists, philanthropists and musicians.After 5-years of hosting epic events for entrepreneurs including Summit Basecamp, Summit at Sea and DC10, The Summit Series team decided it was time to grow roots, and found its home in a place called Eden, Utah. Here, the 40-person Summit Series team, led by co-founders Elliott Bisnow, Brett Leve, Jeff Rosenthal and Jeremy Schwartz, is anything but “settling down.” Today, the team announces that after 20 months, it’s officially closed the $40 million … Read more

The odd genius of Michael Dell

Dell is going down the tubes.  Everyone knows that.  Just look at the stock.  It’s empirical, blunt, and definitive.  Michael Dell has billions invested in the Company he founded.  In order to save his fortune, he decides to take it private with SilverLake, a tech private equity firm.  I guess the humiliation of watching your baby die in front of the world is greater than squandering a few extra $billion. Then out of nowhere, people are now fighting over your business.  Lenovo, even HP want to take a look.  My God does anyone believe that HP would have a clue … Read more

China Passes U.S. to Become the World’s Biggest Trading Nation – Bloomberg

China Passes U.S. to Become the World’s Biggest Trading Nation By Bloomberg News – Feb 9, 2013 6:26 AM MT China surpassed the U.S. to become the world’s biggest trading nation last year as measured by the sum of exports and imports, ending the U.S. supremacy in global commerce that emerged after the end of World War II in 1945. U.S. exports and imports last year totaled $3.82 trillion, the U.S. Commerce Department said yesterday. China’s customs administration reported last month that the country’s total trade in 2012 amounted to $3.87 trillion. China had a $231.1 billion annual trade surplus … Read more

US Health Lags The Developed World – Business Insider

In their efforts to block health care reform, politicians often claim that the U.S. has the best health care system in the world.  As such, we shouldnt tinker with it.The evidence, however, points to a different conclusion: the U.S. health care system provides less quality and less value compared to its international counterparts. The New York Times recently published an article that discusses the results of a comprehensive study convened by the Institute of Medicine and the National Research Council on mortality rates and other measures of health care.The expert panel concluded that there is a ‘U.S. health disadvantage,’ according to … Read more

‘t read on an empty stomach

Crony Capitalist Blowout In praising Congress’s huge new tax increase, President Obama said Tuesday that “millionaires and billionaires” will finally “pay their fair share.” That is, unless you are a Nascar track owner, a wind-energy company or the owners of StarKist Tuna, among many others who managed to get their taxes reduced in Congress’s New Year celebration. There’s plenty to lament about the capital and income tax hikes, but the bill’s seedier underside is the $40 billion or so in tax payoffs to every crony capitalist and special pleader with a lobbyist worth his million-dollar salary. Congress and the White … Read more

Pension Pulse: The End Is Here?

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28, 2012 The End Is Here? Noah Barkin of Reuters reports, Euro doomsayers adjust predictions after 2012 apocalypse averted: Back in May, as the euro zone veered deeper into crisis, Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman penned one of his gloomiest columns about the single currency, a piece in the New York Times entitled “Apocalypse Fairly Soon”. “Suddenly, it has become easy to see how the euro — that grand, flawed experiment in monetary union without political union — could come apart at the seams,” Krugman wrote. “We’re not talking about a distant prospect, either. Things could fall apart … Read more

WSJ/NBC Poll: Majority Favors One-Party Control – Washington Wire – WSJ

Everyone is anticipating and October surprise.  This could be it.  Markets have discounted an Obama win but not an end to gridlock. By Danny YadronGetty A majority of voters want one party to control Congress and the White House next year, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News Poll, a remarkable opinion shift that suggests deep frustration with Washington gridlock.The Journal survey of registered voters, to be released in full at 6:30 p.m. Tuesday on WSJ.com, found 52% want effectively one party to rule Washington, with 39% wanting a divided government. It’s the first time a majority of voters … Read more

Setback Leads Romney to Reinvention – NYTimes.com

By MICHAEL BARBAROPublished: August 29, 2012 99 Not long after Mitt Romney dropped out of the presidential race in early 2008, a titan of New York finance, Julian H. Robertson, flew to Utah to deliver an eye-popping offer.   via Setback Leads Romney to Reinvention – NYTimes.com. On a personal note, this is why the NYT is really a far better paper than the WSJ.  This is a largely favorable article on Romney.  Can you imagine the WSJ doing the same for Obama?

Latest hedge fund results from Barclay Hedge are in

It’s pretty  amazing how much some long- short equity funds have returned during the last 18 months.  Our hats off to Privet Fund, LP up 97.3% over the last 18 months with a CAR 3yr. return of 23.33.  There are many new names on the list and old standbys like Senvest Israel Partners, up 74.40% during the same time period.  What’s more outstanding is that this has been a difficult time for most long-short professional managers including ourselves.  Many names of well known fund managers are absent from this list.  Often times emerging managers can outperform their more established peers … Read more

America’s state will expand whoever wins – FT.com

What I got out of this piece from former Treasury Secretary is the shocking amount of money that will be spent on health care by the aging boomers.   By Lawrence Summers With the selection of Paul Ryan as the Republican vice-presidential candidate, it is clear both political parties agree that the central issue in the presidential election will be the scale and scope of government involvement in the US economy. There will be disagreement over what constituted “normal” levels of spending in the past and indeed over what constitutes “spending”. But there is a widespread view in both parties … Read more

Rare opportunity for speakers at GOP convention – CNN.com

I expect unusual stock price movement during and immediately after the Republican convention   By Kevin Liptak Convention speakers a chance for party to showcase its best in prime timeNew Jersey Gov. Chris Christie will give high-profile GOP keynote addressFlorida Sen. Marco Rubio gets coveted opportunity to nominate RomneyConvention speeches can backfire — just ask Pat Buchanan or Bill ClintonWashington CNN — For one week in August, the Republican Party will have a guaranteed place on prime time TV and, it hopes, voters undivided attention.For many watching, the Republican National Convention will provide the first glimpse of a political fight … Read more

Global Hunter Securities Sees Oil Falling to $70 Then Rising to $80 – Barrons.com

Global Hunter Securities We believe West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices could oversell potentially into the lower $70 range before rebounding to the $80 area, where we expect prices to consolidate. From a purely fundamental perspective, the over-production evidence is interesting, with total U.S. field production up by 12.4% year-over-year to 6.35 million barrels per day, against a declining consumption trend in the same period. The Cushing hub bottleneck bonanza has pushed Cushing stocks higher by 25.6% year-over-year to 47.8 million barrels, but this has not really moved the total crude stocks number out of whack, in our opinion. via … Read more

Japan Is Never Going To Default, And The Kyle Bass Trade Will Be A Disaster – Business Insider

Kyle Bass’s Most Famous Trade Is A Disaster, And It Is Never Going To Work Out Joe Weisenthal | May 20, 2012, 6:42 AM | 23,775 |   Kyle Bass was one of the handful of hedge funders who made a fortune betting against housing during the subprime bust, and since then hes been stalking his next big “career trade.”For years now, his big target has been Japan, a country with a debt-to-GDP ratio of over 200% and a shrinking/aging population. Hes convinced that its only a matter of time before the country implodes in a massive sovereign debt crisis … Read more

Spain’s Banking Rescue Should Become Example for Europe – Bloomberg

Spain’s Banking Rescue Should Become Example for Europe   Europe’s leaders can’t save their currency union without figuring out a way to salvage the region’s banks. Spain is a perfect place to start.Perhaps no country better illustrates the mutually reinforcing links among the euro area’s banking, sovereign-debt and economic crises than Spain. Its banks are largely paralyzed amid concerns about heavy losses on real estate loans that, by various estimates, could require as much as 120 billion euros $150 billion in fresh capital to offset. Tight bank credit has in turn deepened the country’s economic slump, increasing banks’ potential losses … Read more

This Is Who Owns Apple

These Apple charts from Business Insider are getting more and more interesting..  With all the headlines touting AAPL as hedge fund’s number one holding, it’s a bit startling to see how small a slice of the company they actually control.  Looks like wirehouse brokers couldn’t have found an easier story to pitch to their clients..   CHART OF THE DAY: Apple Stock Ownership – Business Insider.

So Just How Much Is That Tweet Worth?

Rob May, who is a co-founder of Backupify (online data storage) just posted some interesting information on his blog.  In case you ever wondered just how much your Yelp review or Tweet, was worth in real life dollars, here’s what he found: Check-in on Forsquare= $.40 LinkedIn Search= $.124 Facebook Share= $.024 Tweet= $.001 and last we have a Yelp review= $9.13 Keep in mind, May produced relatively rough estimates of these valuations based on the parameters he came up with.  Read more about how he came up with the valuation here: How Much Is a Tweet Worth? – Businessweek.

RBC Accused By CFTC Of Largest Trading Scheme To Date

Just earlier today, the Royal Bank of Canada (ticker RY) found out they have a serious situation on their hands involving some of their trading practices.  It appears the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is now claiming that RBC not only intentionally made a large number of fictitious trades to reap benefits from tax arbitrage, but they covered their tracks for the past five years.  According to the NYTimes: “In a civil lawsuit filed in federal court in Manhattan, the trading commission accused the bank of creating “fictitious trades” between various arms of the firm. The trades, involving hundreds of … Read more

Time To Check Your Wallet: 1.5 Million Visa And Mastercard Numbers Stolen

Global Payments, the US based third party payment processor, just confirmed that hackers managed to escape with up to 1.5 million of their customers credit card numbers.  This is positive news considering initial estimates were as high as 10 million, and the firm has already announced that they will be able to absorb any and all costs associated with the breach.  It is still possible however, that enough data was stolen to produce new, counterfeit cards but Global Payments is still investigating this possibility.  All customer data such as addresses, social security numbers, and names remain protected though.   Up … Read more