Month: February 2025

Insider Buying 02-28-25 Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful

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CHAOS 2.0 unfolds as expected with a sharp drop in interest rates as market participants pivot from worrying about inflation to crumbling public sentiment and the likelihood of rising unemployment numbers.  The Atlanta Federal Reserve is projecting a contraction of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) of 1.5 percent in the first quarter, flashing a warning sign for the U.S. economy. The projection is a significant shift for the Atlanta Fed over the last few weeks that comes a little more than a month after President Trump took office. The Atlanta Fed last week was predicting 2.3 percent positive growth … Read more

Insider Buying 02-21-25 Welcome to Chaos 2.0

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I refer to the first Trump administration as Chaos 1.0.  Many good things can come from disruption but generally the markets like predictability and order. It was only a worldwide pandemic that upstaged the near constant firing and turnover in the Administration.   It was the real-world political version of the popular reality TV show, The Apprentice.  According to the Brookings Institute, Trump’s A team turnover from year to year was 92%, far higher than any of the last six Presidents. Now what will be next? Worldwide war and the collapse of the post-World War II order?  Or as Donald Trump … Read more

Insider Buying 02-14-25 Buyers Coming Back as Blackout Abates and Uncertainty Rocks Stocks

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As Q4 earnings announcements start to wind down, we would expect to see a pickup in insider activity. We are seeing that, particularly in sectors that have sold off in anticipation of possible Trump regulatory changes that would make business more challenging and potentially less profitable. Of course, no one really knows for certain about any of this as Trump has shown a great propensity to say one thing and actually do another.  He may be bluffing, posturing or may change his mind. It’s very unpredictable but you have to assume when insiders buy into this, they are considering this, … Read more

Insider Buying 02-07-25 The Frenzy Underneath Continues

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Screw theVIX, its become irrelvant until it doesn’. and it certainly doesn’t seem to matter now.The market did not look pretty last week, and Friday’s consumer sentiment confirmed it.  People poll and say that want change but they don’t seem to want change fast. That’s why companies staying private r have more freedom to enact bold management, strategic, or financial maneuvers.  We already know that markets don’t like uncertainty. Why should we think consumers want anything different? Name: Inge G Thulin Position: Director Transaction Date: 2-06-2025 Shares Bought: 2,833 shares an Average Price Paid of $88.25 for Cost: $250,000 Name: … Read more

‘t short Nvidia

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The market had it’s fugazi moment last week, when the world in one resounding mini crash concluded Nvidia might have limits on its unfettered growth and reign supreme. Skepticism is healthy. Analysts have been talking about the different needs of AI from training to inference but suddenly an open source research paper and LLM model named Deep Seek upended the entire AI industry. A Chinese hedge fund named High Flyer created it.  Boy, did they even nail that name.  You just have to wonder was this a giant short by High Flyer. If so, it was probably the best trade … Read more

"The insomniac hedge fund guy" is a moniker Harvey Sax, the portfolio manager for The Insiders Fund has used from time to time on email, blog , and social media posts. While Mr. Sax is the portfolio manager of The Insiders Fund, these posts are not communications from, nor endorsed by, Alpha Wealth Funds, LLC or any of its managed funds. References to Alpha Wealth Funds or its affiliates are for identification only and do not imply sponsorship or approval. All registered trademarks herein are the property of their respective owners.

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