Insider Buying Week 02-23-24 Is Following Insider Buying Dead as a Strategy?

Insider buying has been noticeably scarce in this bull leg of a market making all-time highs. The small amount of buying is not performing particularly well either.  You might find this news surprising from a hedge fund manager who has made a living reading these tea leaves for 23 years.  Take last Thursday, February 22nd, the morning after Nvidia reported blockbuster earnings.  I’m tracking about 400 stocks where insiders have purchased at least $200,000 of their company’s stock in the last year. This number has remained constant at 300-400 for the last 23 years. The average returns of those stocks … Read more

Insider Buying Week 02-16-24 Climbing the Wall of Worry

  Name: Roger M. Singer Position: Director Transaction Date: 2024-02-12 Shares Bought: 500 Average Price Paid: $357.21 Cost: $178,605 Company: Everest Group Ltd. (EG) Name: John A Graf Position: Director Transaction Date: 2024-02-12 Shares Bought: 695 Average Price Paid: $356.75 Cost: $247,941 Company: Everest Group Ltd. (EG) Name: James Allan Williamson Position: EVP, Chief Operating Officer Transaction Date: 2024-02-09 Shares Bought: 700 Average Price Paid: $352.50 Cost: $246,750 Company: Everest Group Ltd. (EG) Name: Mike Karmilowicz Position: EVP, Pres/CEO Insurance Div Transaction Date: 2024-02-09 Shares Bought: 285 Average Price Paid: $352.39 Cost: $100,430 Company: Everest Group Ltd. (EG) Name: Juan … Read more

Insider Buying Week 02-09-24 Is it the Super Bowl or the Ripping AI Bandwagon?

Finally, there is some work to do in analyzing insider buying. It’s not much, but it’s better than the last three weeks of nonexistent purchases.  Still, the lazy move, and perhaps the best move, is to get on the AI bandwagon with the companies that have proven they can monetize Now.   The popular wisdom is that the stock market looks forward six months or so, but the reality is quite different. Earnings season is the proof of it. Companies that miss revenues and earnings expectations are punished with swift declines in share value. Those that significantly surpass expectations experience hefty, … Read more

Another week of near-nonexistent insider buying, accompanied by many stocks making 52-week highs or all-time highs.

Another week of near-nonexistent insider buying, accompanied by many stocks making 52-week highs or all-time highs.  Beat and raise quarters by Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon pushed the averages higher even with the Fed-dampening interest rate cut expectations and Friday’s blowout job numbers. The market reversed direction Friday and headed higher. Once the rash of normal insider selling after earnings subsides, the market seems higher to me. If it quacks like a duck, walks like a duck, and swims like a duck, it’s a bull market, especially if you own Microsoft, Nvidia, and Amazon.   Apparently, you don’t need insider participation for … Read more